The two teams score 62 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model72.9%SportsbooksOdds68.9%Edge+4.0
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
FIUFIU07014721
DELDelaware77771428
Most likely final scoresFIU 21–28 DEL 0.7%FIU 21–24 DEL 0.6%FIU 24–27 DEL 0.6%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line
FIUFIUDelawareDEL
Offense
386Total yards380
244Passing yards258
142Rushing yards122
20First downs20
Scoring
3Touchdowns3
2Passing touchdowns2
1Rushing touchdowns1
0Field goals made2
Ball security
1Turnovers1
1Interceptions thrown1
1Fumbles lost1
0Sacks allowed0
67Penalty yards57
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
FIUTotal yardsOver 313.5Proj. 38672%
FIUPassing yardsOver 187.5Proj. 24572%
FIURushing yardsOver 89.5Proj. 14272%
FIUFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 2074%
DELTotal yardsOver 306.5Proj. 38072%
DELPassing yardsOver 200.5Proj. 25872%
DELRushing yardsOver 69.5Proj. 12272%
DELFirst downsOver 16.5Proj. 2073%
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares FIU’s road games with Delaware’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
FIUFIU4-5WLLLW
Wk 10Nov 7vs MOST
MOSTMissouri St20FIUFIU23
Missouri St moneyline +160FIU moneyline −217
WFINAL
Wk 9Oct 31@ LIB
FIUFIU10LIBLiberty49
FIU moneyline +450Liberty moneyline −769
LFINAL
Wk 8Oct 20vs MTSU
MTSUMTSU26FIUFIU23
MTSU moneyline +300FIU moneyline −417
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 13@ JVST
FIUFIU24JVSTJax State27
FIU moneyline +113Jax State moneyline −154
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 7vs NMSU
NMSUNew Mexico St3FIUFIU22
New Mexico St moneyline +195FIU moneyline −256
WFINAL
DELDelaware4-5LLWWL
Wk 10Nov 7@ KENN
DELDelaware40KENNKennesaw St42
Delaware moneyline −118Kennesaw St moneyline −104
LFINAL
Wk 9Oct 27@ WKU
DELDelaware35WKUWestern KY21
Delaware moneyline +108Western KY moneyline −141
WFINAL
Wk 8Oct 20vs MOST
MOSTMissouri St38DELDelaware61
Missouri St moneyline +148Delaware moneyline −182
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 13@ MTSU
DELDelaware30MTSUMTSU33
Delaware moneyline −123MTSU moneyline +100
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 2vs LIB
LIBLiberty30DELDelaware14
Liberty moneyline −294Delaware moneyline +210
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standingsTeams in this game
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 4Pitbull Stadium
FIUFIU16DELDelaware38
FIU moneyline +145Delaware moneyline −200
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (FIU)+155+155
Moneyline (DEL)−192−192
Spread (DEL)−5.5−5.5
Total54.554.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Florida International visits Delaware in college football Week 11, on Saturday, November 14 at 3:00 PM ET. Florida International comes in at 4-5 and Delaware at 4-5. The moneyline has Florida International at +155 and Delaware at −192.
Our model predicts a final score of FIU 21, Delaware 28. Its picks: Delaware to win (−213); Florida International +12.5 (−263); under 62.5 points (−263). The best pick is Florida International +12.5, at 76% confidence.