Florida Atlantic vs Army Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
FAU	14	0	3	7	24
ARMY	14	21	7	14	56

FAU vs Army picks

3 picks · Army by 3 · 59 points · 3 of 3 won

Moneyline

ARMY MLodds up −135 Won 94%

Army wins the game.

Confidence94%

Model71.4% SportsbooksOdds56.4% Edge+15.0

Spread

ARMY +5.5odds up −238 Won 84%

Army wins, or loses by five points or fewer.

Confidence84%

Model77.4% SportsbooksOdds69.3% Edge+8.1

TotalBest pick

Over 48.5odds up −227 Won 76%

The two teams score 49 or more points between them.

Confidence76%

Model67.1% SportsbooksOdds68.7% Edge−1.6

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

FAU77771428

Army773141431

Most likely final scoresFAU 28–31 ARMY 0.6%FAU 24–31 ARMY 0.6%FAU 21–28 ARMY 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 17 full box scores per team · not a betting line

FAUArmy

Offense

371▲ 432 Total yards ▲ 481422

245▲ 324 Passing yards ▼ 2157

126▼ 108 Rushing yards ▲ 479265

20▲ 28 First downs = 2222

Scoring

3= 3 Touchdowns ▲ 84

2▲ 3 Passing touchdowns ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Rushing touchdowns ▲ 83

2▼ 1 Field goals made ▼ 01

Ball security

1▲ 3 Turnovers ▼ 01

1= 1 Interceptions thrown ▼ 01

1▲ 2 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

49▲ 53 Penalty yards ▼ 2050

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 297.5 Proj. 371 72% Won · 432

Passing yards Over 187.5 Proj. 245 72% Won · 324

Rushing yards Over 73.5 Proj. 126 72% Won · 108

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 69% Won · 28

Total yards Over 349.5 Proj. 422 72% Won · 481

Passing yards Over 100.5 Proj. 158 72% Lost · 2

Rushing yards Over 212.5 Proj. 265 72% Won · 479

First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 22 72% Won · 22

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

FAU

QB Caden Veltkamp20/29 · 229 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT 229pass yds

RB Ethan Ervin12 carries · 75 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 75rush yds

WR/TE Kelby Valsin6 rec · 82 yds · 0.8 TD 82rec yds

WR/TE Easton Messer5 rec · 71 yds · 0.5 TD 71rec yds

Army

QB Cale Hellums11/18 · 136 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 136pass yds

RB Carson Smith7 carries · 26 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 1 rec 26rush yds

WR/TE Zach Mundell3 rec · 45 yds · 0.3 TD 45rec yds

WR/TE Brady Anderson3 rec · 41 yds · 0.0 TD 41rec yds

Road form. FAU is 1-1 on the road this season, losing by 8.5 points a game.

Home form. Army is 2-1 at home, scoring 34.3 points a game there.

Rest. FAU comes in on 14 days’ rest, Army on 7.

Streak. FAU has won 4 in a row.

Tale of the tape

Florida AtlanticArmy

4-1Record3-2

1-1 roadRoad / home2-1 home

W4StreakW1

14 daysRest7 days

37.2Points per game30.6

26.6Points allowed19.2

+53 Point differentialseason to date +57

304Passing yards / game83

106Rushing yards / game333

50%3rd-down conversion51%

8Takeaways1

0Sacks0

3Turnovers2

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares FAU’s road games with Army’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.