MoneylineBest pick
DEL MLodds up +107
Won 67%
Delaware wins the game.
Confidence67%
Model50.7%
SportsbooksOdds55.1%
Edge−4.4
Delaware vs Western Kentucky prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEL | 7 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 35 |
| WKU | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
DELAWARE 51%
Pre-game win chance
49% WESTERN KY
DEL by 2 · 46 points
Updated Oct 27, 10:15 PM ET
Delaware vs Western KY picks
3 picks · Delaware by 2 · 46 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
WKU +2.5odds down −167
Lost 71%
Western KY wins, or loses by two points or fewer.
Confidence71%
Model53.7%
SportsbooksOdds50.0%
Edge+3.7
Total
Under 59.5odds down −169
Won 74%
The two teams score 59 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model59.8%
SportsbooksOdds50.0%
Edge+9.8
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Delaware014371424
Western KY00220022
Most likely final scoresDEL 24–22 WKU 0.2%DEL 27–26 WKU 0.2%DEL 28–26 WKU 0.2%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line
DelawareWestern KY
Offense
375▲ 495
Total yards
▲ 477396
231▲ 414
Passing yards
▼ 245257
144▼ 81
Rushing yards
▲ 232139
19▲ 25
First downs
▲ 2421
Scoring
3▲ 5
Touchdowns
= 33
2▲ 4
Passing touchdowns
▼ 12
1= 1
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 21
1▼ 0
Field goals made
= 00
Ball security
1= 1
Turnovers
▲ 21
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
▲ 21
1= 1
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
53▲ 70
Penalty yards
▼ 3554
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 301.5
Proj. 375
72%
Won · 495
Passing yards
Over 174.5
Proj. 231
72%
Won · 414
Rushing yards
Over 91.5
Proj. 144
72%
Lost · 81
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 19
71%
Won · 25
Total yards
Over 323.5
Proj. 396
72%
Won · 477
Passing yards
Over 199.5
Proj. 257
72%
Won · 245
Rushing yards
Over 86.5
Proj. 139
72%
Won · 232
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
70%
Won · 24
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Delaware
QB
Nick Minicucci16/27 · 196 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.5 INT
196pass yds
RB
Jo'Nathan Silver11 carries · 66 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 1 rec
66rush yds
WR/TE
Sean Wilson4 rec · 54 yds · 0.3 TD
54rec yds
WR/TE
Donovan Lewis3 rec · 36 yds · 0.3 TD
36rec yds
Western KY
QB
Brock Glenn12/22 · 128 pass yds · 1.1 TD · 0.4 INT
128pass yds
RB
Ajay Allen10 carries · 41 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 3 rec
41rush yds
WR/TE
Jonathan Stafford Jr.6 rec · 63 yds · 0.2 TD
63rec yds
WR/TE
Moussa Barry3 rec · 35 yds · 0.0 TD
35rec yds
Road form. Delaware is 0-3 on the road this season, losing by 17.0 points a game.
Home form. Western KY is 2-0 at home, scoring 43.0 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at WKU +2.5 and is now WKU −2.5, a 5-point move toward Western KY.
Rest. Delaware comes in on 7 days’ rest, Western KY on 13.
Tale of the tape
DelawareWestern Kentucky
DelawareWestern Kentucky
3-4Record3-4
0-3 roadRoad / home2-0 home
W1StreakW2
7 daysRest13 days
28.3Points per game21.3
28.4Points allowed30.6
−1
Point differentialseason to date
−65
268Passing yards / game218
112Rushing yards / game135
33%3rd-down conversion41%
11Takeaways6
0Sacks0
9Turnovers9
211Passing yards / game322
86Rushing yards / game208
29%3rd-down conversion54%
4Takeaways1
0Sacks0
5Turnovers1
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Delaware’s road games with Western KY’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Delaware
3-4
WLLLW
Wk 8Oct 20vs MOST
Missouri St38Delaware61
Missouri St moneyline +148Delaware moneyline −182
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 13@ MTSU
Delaware30MTSU33
Delaware moneyline −123MTSU moneyline +100
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 2vs LIB
Liberty30Delaware14
Liberty moneyline −294Delaware moneyline +210
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ UVA
Delaware3Virginia42
Delaware moneyline +680Virginia moneyline −1667
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs CCU
Coastal14Delaware22
Coastal moneyline +160Delaware moneyline −222
WFINAL
Western KY
3-4
LWLWW
Wk 7Oct 14@ SHSU
Western KY16Sam Houston3
Western KY moneyline −120Sam Houston moneyline −102
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 8vs MOST
Missouri St13Western KY34
Missouri St: no odds on recordWestern KY: no odds on record
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 1@ NMSU
Western KY13New Mexico St34
Western KY moneyline +102New Mexico St moneyline −132
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs MERC
Mercyhurst7Western KY52
Mercyhurst moneyline +1600Western KY moneyline −10000
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ IU
Western KY0Indiana38
Western KY moneyline +1600Indiana moneyline −10000
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameC-USA
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
DELAWARE
0
Wins
Avg. points24.0 – 27.0
Avg. total51.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
1
WESTERN KY
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 6Delaware Stadium
Delaware24Western KY27
Delaware moneyline +118Western KY moneyline −159
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (DEL)+108+108
Moneyline (WKU)−141−141
Spread (WKU)+2.5down −2.5
Total57.5down 55.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Delaware beat Western Kentucky 35–21 in college football Week 9, on Tuesday, October 27 at 7:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Delaware at +108 and Western Kentucky at −141.
Our model predicted a final score of Delaware 24, Western KY 22. Its picks: Delaware to win (+107), won; Western Kentucky +2.5 (−167), lost; under 59.5 points (−169), won. The best pick was Delaware to win, at 67% confidence.