Moneyline
DAL MLodds up −217
Won 56%
The Cowboys win the game.
Confidence56%
Model53.1%
SportsbooksOdds67.3%
Edge−14.2
Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction, picks and odds
Updated Oct 26, 11:36 PM ET
Cowboys vs Eagles picks
3 picks · Cowboys by 3 · 51 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
PHI +9.5odds up −222
Lost 81%
The Eagles win, or lose by nine points or fewer.
Confidence81%
Model76.9%
SportsbooksOdds67.1%
Edge+9.8
TotalBest pick
Over 38odds up −238
Won 77%
The two teams score 39 or more points between them (exactly 38 is a push).
Confidence77%
Model71.9%
SportsbooksOdds69.0%
Edge+2.9
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Cowboys107371727
Eagles730141024
Most likely final scoresDAL 27–24 PHI 0.8%DAL 23–20 PHI 0.8%DAL 30–27 PHI 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
CowboysEagles
Offense
364▲ 416
Total yards
▲ 321320
260▼ 212
Passing yards
▼ 200209
104▲ 204
Rushing yards
▲ 121111
22▲ 25
First downs
▲ 2319
Scoring
3▲ 4
Touchdowns
= 33
2▲ 3
Passing touchdowns
▼ 12
1▼ 0
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 21
2▲ 3
Field goals made
▼ 01
Ball security
1▼ 0
Turnovers
= 11
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
2▼ 0
Sacks allowed
= 22
59▼ 47
Penalty yards
▼ 4557
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 317.5
Proj. 364
72%
Won · 416
Passing yards
Over 218.5
Proj. 260
72%
Lost · 212
Rushing yards
Over 76.5
Proj. 105
72%
Won · 204
First downs
Over 19.5
Proj. 23
73%
Won · 25
Total yards
Over 273.5
Proj. 320
72%
Won · 321
Passing yards
Over 166.5
Proj. 208
72%
Won · 200
Rushing yards
Over 82.5
Proj. 111
72%
Won · 121
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 19
69%
Won · 23
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Cowboys
QB
Dak Prescott24/38 · 260 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
260pass yds
RB
Javonte Williams18 carries · 73 rush yds · 0.9 TD · 3 rec
73rush yds
WR/TE
CeeDee Lamb7 rec · 94 yds · 0.8 TD
94rec yds
WR/TE
George Pickens5 rec · 69 yds · 0.2 TD
69rec yds
Eagles
QB
Tanner McKee20/33 · 209 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.0 INT
209pass yds
RB
Dameon Pierce20 carries · 96 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 3 rec
96rush yds
WR/TE
Dallas Goedert4 rec · 45 yds · 0.6 TD
45rec yds
WR/TE
Makai Lemon3 rec · 25 yds · 0.0 TD
25rec yds
Road form. The Cowboys are 1-2 on the road this season, losing by 4.7 points a game.
Home form. The Eagles are 1-2 at home, scoring 19.3 points a game there.
Rest. Both teams come in on 8 days’ rest.
Division game. Two NFC East rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Streak. The Eagles have lost 4 in a row.
Tale of the tape
Dallas CowboysPhiladelphia Eagles
Dallas CowboysPhiladelphia Eagles
2-4Record2-4
1-2 roadRoad / home1-2 home
L2StreakL4
8 daysRest8 days
25.2Points per game17.7
26.5Points allowed22.8
−8
Point differentialseason to date
−31
5.5Yards per play4.4
267Passing yards / game173
76Rushing yards / game82
47%3rd-down conversion37%
77%Red-zone touchdowns69%
3Takeaways3
8Sacks8
7Turnovers5
4.9Yards per play4.1
251Passing yards / game146
64Rushing yards / game92
47%3rd-down conversion29%
82%Red-zone touchdowns67%
2Takeaways2
7Sacks4
3Turnovers0
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Cowboys’ road games with the Eagles’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Cowboys
2-4
WLWLL
Wk 6Oct 18@ GB
Cowboys13Packers23
Cowboys moneyline −115Packers moneyline −105
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 8vs TB
Buccaneers24Cowboys16
Buccaneers moneyline +370Cowboys moneyline −526
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4@ HOU
Cowboys34Texans30
Cowboys moneyline +123Texans moneyline −152
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27vs BAL
Ravens34Cowboys31
Ravens moneyline −182Cowboys moneyline +150
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20vs WAS
Commanders20Cowboys37
Commanders moneyline +170Cowboys moneyline −213
WFINAL
Eagles
2-4
WLLLL
Wk 6Oct 18vs CAR
Panthers25Eagles14
Panthers moneyline −156Eagles moneyline +132
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ JAX
Eagles17Jaguars19
Eagles moneyline +310Jaguars moneyline −417
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs LAR
Rams24Eagles20
Rams moneyline −200Eagles moneyline +162
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 28@ CHI
Eagles7Bears27
Eagles moneyline −200Bears moneyline +162
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20@ TEN
Eagles24Titans20
Eagles moneyline −345Titans moneyline +255
WFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameNFC East
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
Last five meetings · regular season and playoffs
COWBOYS
2
Wins
Avg. points18.0 – 26.6
Avg. total44.6 pts
Over closing total1 of 5
3
EAGLES
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 12AT&T Stadium
Eagles21Cowboys24
Eagles moneyline −161Cowboys moneyline +130
2025 · Wk 1Lincoln Financial Field
Cowboys20Eagles24
Cowboys moneyline +315Eagles moneyline −455
2024 · Wk 17Lincoln Financial Field
Cowboys7Eagles41
Cowboys moneyline +280Eagles moneyline −370
2024 · Wk 10AT&T Stadium
Eagles34Cowboys6
Eagles moneyline −345Cowboys moneyline +260
2023 · Wk 14AT&T Stadium
Eagles13Cowboys33
Eagles moneyline +147Cowboys moneyline −172
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (DAL)−233up −222
Moneyline (PHI)+185down +180
Spread (PHI)+4.5+4.5
Total4444
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Dallas Cowboys beat the Philadelphia Eagles 38–21 in NFL Week 7 of the 2026 season (Monday Night Football on ESPN), on Monday, October 26 at 8:15 PM ET, at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia. The moneyline had the Cowboys at −222 and the Eagles at +180.
Our model predicted a final score of Cowboys 27, Eagles 24. Its picks: the Cowboys to win (−217), won; the Eagles +9.5 (−222), lost; over 38 points (−238), won. The best pick was over 38 points, at 77% confidence.