Skip to content
No games live 2026 season · Week 10 of 18
Odds: American
English 21+ · Play responsibly
Saved games Sign up

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants prediction, picks and odds

Back to the NFL Week 10 picks NFL picks Week 10 Thursday, November 12 · 8:15 PM ET · Prime Video MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
Comman­ders
Away · 2-5-1ML odds up +108
8:15PM Kickoff Thu, Nov 12 · ET
Giants
ML odds down −133Home · 5-2-1
SpreadNYG −2.5
Total41 points
Kickoff in1d 4h

MetLife Stadium

Predictions3 Comparison Recent games Standings Head-to-head Odds Injuries
Updated 2:03 PM ET

Commanders vs Giants picks

3 picks · Giants by 3 · 37 points
Moneyline
NYG MLodds down −139 63%
The Giants win the game.
Confidence63%
Model56.7% SportsbooksOdds53.9% Edge+2.8
SpreadBest pick
NYG +4.5−263 78%
The Giants win, or lose by four points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model71.7% SportsbooksOdds69.1% Edge+2.6
Total
Over 36.5odds up −217 77%
The two teams score 37 or more points between them.
Confidence77%
Model74.0% SportsbooksOdds68.7% Edge+5.3

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Commanders37701017
Giants730101020
Most likely final scoresWAS 17–20 NYG 1.0%WAS 24–27 NYG 0.9%WAS 20–23 NYG 0.8%
Projected box score Model only Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
CommandersGiants

Offense

312 Total yards 347
191 Passing yards 231
121 Rushing yards 116
18 First downs 21

Scoring

2 Touchdowns 2
1 Passing touchdowns 1
1 Rushing touchdowns 1
1 Field goals made 2

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1
1 Interceptions thrown 1
1 Fumbles lost 1
3 Sacks allowed 3
55 Penalty yards 54
Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards Over 265.5 Proj. 312 72%
Passing yards Over 149.5 Proj. 191 72%
Rushing yards Over 91.5 Proj. 120 72%
First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 18 70%
Total yards Over 300.5 Proj. 347 72%
Passing yards Over 189.5 Proj. 231 72%
Rushing yards Over 87.5 Proj. 116 72%
First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 21 68%
Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Commanders
QB Jayden Daniels19/31 · 191 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.0 INT 191pass yds
RB Rachaad White9 carries · 37 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 37rush yds
WR/TE Chigoziem Okonkwo4 rec · 38 yds · 0.0 TD 38rec yds
WR/TE Stefon Diggs4 rec · 35 yds · 0.3 TD 35rec yds
Giants
QB J.J. McCarthy15/23 · 186 pass yds · 0.3 TD · 0.2 INT 186pass yds
RB Devin Singletary10 carries · 28 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 2 rec 28rush yds
WR/TE Malik Nabers8 rec · 95 yds · 0.2 TD 95rec yds
WR/TE Isaiah Likely6 rec · 55 yds · 0.4 TD 55rec yds

The Washington Commanders visit the New York Giants in NFL Week 10 of the 2026 season (Thursday Night Football on Prime Video), on Thursday, November 12 at 8:15 PM ET, at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. The Commanders come in at 2-5-1 and the Giants at 5-2-1. The moneyline has the Commanders at +108 and the Giants at −133.

Our model predicts a final score of Commanders 17, Giants 20. Its picks: the Giants to win (−139); the Giants +4.5 (−263); over 36.5 points (−217). The best pick is the Giants +4.5, at 78% confidence.