Colorado vs Oklahoma State Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
COLO	14	10	0	0	24
OKST	7	16	14	20	57

Colorado vs Oklahoma St picks

3 picks · Oklahoma St by 7 · 49 points · 1 of 3 won

MoneylineBest pick

OKST MLodds down −625 Won 91%

Oklahoma St wins the game.

Confidence91%

Model68.4% SportsbooksOdds83.8% Edge−15.4

Spread

COLO +21.5odds down −263 Lost 85%

Colorado wins, or loses by 21 points or fewer.

Confidence85%

Model79.6% SportsbooksOdds68.9% Edge+10.7

Total

Under 64.5odds down −294 Lost 74%

The two teams score 64 or fewer points between them.

Confidence74%

Model76.0% SportsbooksOdds69.9% Edge+6.1

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Colorado07014721

Oklahoma St014771428

Most likely final scoresCOLO 21–28 OKST 0.6%COLO 28–31 OKST 0.5%COLO 24–27 OKST 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

ColoradoOklahoma St

Offense

387▲ 399 Total yards ▲ 598423

239▲ 343 Passing yards ▲ 410259

148▼ 56 Rushing yards ▲ 188164

20▼ 17 First downs ▲ 2823

Scoring

3= 3 Touchdowns ▲ 63

2= 2 Passing touchdowns ▲ 42

1= 1 Rushing touchdowns ▲ 21

0▲ 1 Field goals made ▲ 52

Ball security

1▲ 3 Turnovers ▼ 01

1▲ 2 Interceptions thrown ▼ 01

1= 1 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

59▲ 84 Penalty yards ▼ 5055

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 313.5 Proj. 387 72% Won · 399

Passing yards Over 182.5 Proj. 239 72% Won · 343

Rushing yards Over 95.5 Proj. 148 72% Lost · 56

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 21 74% Won · 17

Total yards Over 350.5 Proj. 423 72% Won · 598

Passing yards Over 201.5 Proj. 259 72% Won · 410

Rushing yards Over 111.5 Proj. 164 72% Won · 188

First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 23 74% Won · 28

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Colorado

QB Isaac Wilson12/21 · 136 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 136pass yds

RB Jaquail Smith9 carries · 45 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 2 rec 45rush yds

WR/TE Joseph Williams6 rec · 80 yds · 1.0 TD 80rec yds

WR/TE Quanell Farrakhan Jr.3 rec · 41 yds · 0.0 TD 41rec yds

Oklahoma St

QB Drew Mestemaker19/32 · 254 pass yds · 1.9 TD · 0.8 INT 254pass yds

RB Caleb Hawkins21 carries · 86 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 3 rec 86rush yds

WR/TE Wyatt Young5 rec · 73 yds · 0.6 TD 73rec yds

WR/TE Justin Bowick4 rec · 61 yds · 0.7 TD 61rec yds

Road form. Colorado is 1-2 on the road this season, losing by 14.3 points a game.

Home form. Oklahoma St is 3-0 at home, scoring 46.7 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at OKST −14.5 and is now OKST −13.5, a 1-point move toward Colorado.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Streak. Colorado has lost 4 in a row.

Tale of the tape

ColoradoOklahoma State

2-4Record4-2

1-2 roadRoad / home3-0 home

L4StreakL1

7 daysRest7 days

19.5Points per game37.2

25.7Points allowed23.7

−37 Point differentialseason to date +81

254Passing yards / game330

140Rushing yards / game188

36%3rd-down conversion34%

7Takeaways7

0Sacks0

13Turnovers11

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Colorado’s road games with Oklahoma St’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.