Moneyline
ASU MLodds up −164
Won 87%
Arizona St wins the game.
Confidence87%
Model64.3%
SportsbooksOdds63.0%
Edge+1.3
Colorado vs Arizona State prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| ASU | 3 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 20 |
COLORADO 36%
Pre-game win chance
64% ARIZONA ST
ASU by 3 · 45 points
Updated Nov 7, 10:57 PM ET
Colorado vs Arizona St picks
3 picks · Arizona St by 3 · 45 points · 2 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
ASU +3.5odds up −263
Won 78%
Arizona St wins, or loses by three points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model73.4%
SportsbooksOdds70.8%
Edge+2.6
Total
Over 41.5odds up −179
Lost 74%
The two teams score 42 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model68.7%
SportsbooksOdds68.1%
Edge+0.6
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Colorado70014721
Arizona St107071724
Most likely final scoresCOLO 21–24 ASU 0.6%COLO 14–28 ASU 0.6%COLO 21–28 ASU 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
ColoradoArizona St
Offense
357▼ 300
Total yards
▼ 304386
232▲ 248
Passing yards
▼ 196241
125▼ 52
Rushing yards
▼ 108145
19▼ 17
First downs
▼ 1521
Scoring
3▼ 1
Touchdowns
▼ 23
2▼ 1
Passing touchdowns
= 22
1▼ 0
Rushing touchdowns
▼ 01
0▲ 1
Field goals made
▲ 21
Ball security
1= 1
Turnovers
▼ 01
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
52▼ 34
Penalty yards
▼ 2652
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 283.5
Proj. 357
72%
Won · 300
Passing yards
Over 175.5
Proj. 232
72%
Won · 248
Rushing yards
Over 72.5
Proj. 125
72%
Lost · 52
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 19
70%
Won · 17
Total yards
Over 312.5
Proj. 386
72%
Lost · 304
Passing yards
Over 184.5
Proj. 241
72%
Won · 196
Rushing yards
Over 92.5
Proj. 145
72%
Won · 108
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
70%
Lost · 15
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Colorado
QB
Isaac Wilson17/29 · 199 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
199pass yds
RB
Jaquail Smith9 carries · 49 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 1 rec
49rush yds
WR/TE
Joseph Williams7 rec · 89 yds · 0.8 TD
89rec yds
WR/TE
DeAndre Moore Jr.5 rec · 62 yds · 0.6 TD
62rec yds
Arizona St
QB
Jake Fette14/23 · 135 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.0 INT
135pass yds
RB
Cardae Mack17 carries · 115 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 2 rec
115rush yds
WR/TE
Reed Harris5 rec · 85 yds · 0.9 TD
85rec yds
WR/TE
Derek Eusebio5 rec · 51 yds · 0.0 TD
51rec yds
Road form. Colorado is 1-3 on the road this season, losing by 19.0 points a game.
Home form. Arizona St is 3-1 at home, scoring 36.8 points a game there.
Total move. The total opened at 49.5 and is now 45.5.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Tale of the tape
ColoradoArizona State
ColoradoArizona State
3-5Record4-4
1-3 roadRoad / home3-1 home
W1StreakL1
7 daysRest7 days
21.0Points per game29.5
29.4Points allowed29.5
−67
Point differentialseason to date
0
256Passing yards / game255
140Rushing yards / game140
38%3rd-down conversion31%
7Takeaways8
0Sacks0
17Turnovers11
229Passing yards / game286
126Rushing yards / game182
33%3rd-down conversion32%
3Takeaways1
0Sacks0
8Turnovers4
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Colorado’s road games with Arizona St’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Colorado
3-5
LLLLW
Wk 9Oct 31vs KSU
Kansas St24Colorado27
Kansas St moneyline +134Colorado moneyline −179
WF/OT
Wk 8Oct 24@ OKST
Colorado24Oklahoma St57
Colorado moneyline +425Oklahoma St moneyline −714
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs UTAH
Utah27Colorado24
Utah moneyline −833Colorado moneyline +540
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs TTU
Texas Tech29Colorado7
Texas Tech moneyline −667Colorado moneyline +420
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ BAY
Colorado13Baylor23
Colorado moneyline +255Baylor moneyline −370
LFINAL
Arizona St
4-4
LWLWL
Wk 9Oct 31@ BYU
Arizona St20BYU27
Arizona St moneyline +600BYU moneyline −1111
LFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24vs KSU
Kansas St17Arizona St28
Kansas St moneyline −123Arizona St moneyline −108
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17@ TTU
Arizona St25Texas Tech53
Arizona St moneyline +540Texas Tech moneyline −833
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs HAW
Hawai'i12Arizona St30
Hawai'i moneyline +641Arizona St moneyline −2000
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs BAY
Baylor55Arizona St19
Baylor moneyline +132Arizona St moneyline −185
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameBig 12
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
COLORADO
0
Wins
Avg. points17.0 – 42.0
Avg. total59.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 1
1
ARIZONA ST
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 13Colorado home
Arizona St42Colorado17
Arizona St moneyline −294Colorado moneyline +205
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (COLO)+125up +128
Moneyline (ASU)−154down −156
Spread (ASU)−3.5−3.5
Total49.5down 45.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Arizona State beat Colorado 20–10 in college football Week 10, on Saturday, November 7 at 7:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Colorado at +128 and Arizona State at −156.
Our model predicted a final score of Colorado 21, Arizona St 24. Its picks: Arizona State to win (−164), won; Arizona State +3.5 (−263), won; over 41.5 points (−179), lost. The best pick was Arizona State +3.5, at 78% confidence.