MoneylineBest pick
GAST MLodds up −185
Lost 82%
Georgia St wins the game.
Confidence82%
Model64.5%
SportsbooksOdds69.2%
Edge−4.7
Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCU | 0 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 31 |
| GAST | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 20 |
COASTAL 35%
Pre-game win chance
65% GEORGIA ST
GAST by 7 · 49 points
Updated Oct 31, 5:40 PM ET
Coastal vs Georgia St picks
3 picks · Georgia St by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
CCU +13.5odds down −323
Won 78%
Coastal wins, or loses by 13 points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model67.5%
SportsbooksOdds68.1%
Edge−0.6
Total
Under 67.5odds down −323
Won 74%
The two teams score 67 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model76.4%
SportsbooksOdds68.3%
Edge+8.1
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Coastal014701421
Georgia St0140141428
Most likely final scoresCCU 21–28 GAST 0.6%CCU 27–30 GAST 0.6%CCU 28–31 GAST 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
CoastalGeorgia St
Offense
364▲ 375
Total yards
▼ 360448
213▲ 302
Passing yards
▼ 200239
151▼ 73
Rushing yards
▼ 160209
19▲ 22
First downs
▼ 1922
Scoring
3▲ 4
Touchdowns
▼ 24
2▲ 3
Passing touchdowns
= 22
1= 1
Rushing touchdowns
▼ 02
Ball security
1▲ 3
Turnovers
▼ 12
1▲ 2
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1= 1
Fumbles lost
= 11
0
Sacks allowed
0
57▲ 65
Penalty yards
▲ 9656
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 291.5
Proj. 364
72%
Won · 375
Passing yards
Over 156.5
Proj. 213
72%
Won · 302
Rushing yards
Over 98.5
Proj. 151
72%
Lost · 73
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 19
71%
Won · 22
Total yards
Over 375.5
Proj. 448
72%
Lost · 360
Passing yards
Over 182.5
Proj. 239
72%
Won · 200
Rushing yards
Over 156.5
Proj. 209
72%
Won · 160
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 22
71%
Won · 19
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Coastal
QB
Deuce Bailey16/29 · 212 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.6 INT
212pass yds
RB
Dominic Knicely12 carries · 69 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 2 rec
69rush yds
WR/TE
Robby Washington3 rec · 36 yds · 0.3 TD
36rec yds
WR/TE
Tristian Gardner3 rec · 35 yds · 0.3 TD
35rec yds
Georgia St
QB
Ayden Pereira4/7 · 52 pass yds · 0.3 TD · 0.4 INT
52pass yds
RB
Qwantavius Wiggins8 carries · 61 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 2 rec
61rush yds
WR/TE
DJ Riles4 rec · 37 yds · 0.1 TD
37rec yds
WR/TE
DJ Murray Jr.3 rec · 26 yds · 0.2 TD
26rec yds
Road form. Coastal is 1-2 on the road this season, losing by 3.0 points a game.
Home form. Georgia St is 3-0 at home, scoring 45.3 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at GAST −6.5 and is now GAST −3.5, a 3-point move toward Coastal.
Rest. Coastal comes in on 15 days’ rest, Georgia St on 7.
Division game. Two East rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
Coastal CarolinaGeorgia State
Coastal CarolinaGeorgia State
2-5Record4-3
1-2 roadRoad / home3-0 home
L1StreakL2
15 daysRest7 days
26.1Points per game35.9
25.9Points allowed26.0
+2
Point differentialseason to date
+69
235Passing yards / game244
148Rushing yards / game205
36%3rd-down conversion46%
14Takeaways6
0Sacks0
10Turnovers12
232Passing yards / game253
141Rushing yards / game205
32%3rd-down conversion53%
7Takeaways3
0Sacks0
5Turnovers3
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Coastal’s road games with Georgia St’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Coastal
2-5
LLLWL
Wk 7Oct 16vs APP
App State35Coastal32
App State moneyline −116Coastal moneyline −105
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ MRSH
Coastal27Marshall21
Coastal moneyline +148Marshall moneyline −213
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs GASO
GA Southern31Coastal24
GA Southern moneyline −143Coastal moneyline +107
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 24vs LIB
Liberty34Coastal17
Liberty moneyline −145Coastal moneyline +110
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ DEL
Coastal14Delaware22
Coastal moneyline +160Delaware moneyline −222
LFINAL
Georgia St
4-3
LWWLL
Wk 8Oct 24@ ARST
Georgia St32Arkansas St38
Georgia St moneyline −141Arkansas St moneyline +108
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17@ JMU
Georgia St22James Madison49
Georgia St moneyline +275James Madison moneyline −370
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs ODU
Old Dominion10Georgia St42
Old Dominion moneyline +100Georgia St moneyline −132
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs NIU
N Illinois14Georgia St35
N Illinois moneyline +255Georgia St moneyline −400
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ UCF
Georgia St30UCF44
Georgia St moneyline +600UCF moneyline −1111
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameSun Belt East
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
COASTAL
1
Wins
Avg. points40.0 – 27.0
Avg. total67.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 1
0
GEORGIA ST
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 11Coastal home
Georgia St27Coastal40
Georgia St moneyline +220Coastal moneyline −303
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (CCU)+139up +141
Moneyline (GAST)−182down −185
Spread (GAST)−6.5up −3.5
Total58.5down 55.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Coastal Carolina beat Georgia State 31–20 in college football Week 9, on Saturday, October 31 at 2:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Coastal Carolina at +141 and Georgia State at −185.
Our model predicted a final score of Coastal 21, Georgia St 28. Its picks: Georgia State to win (−185), lost; Coastal Carolina +13.5 (−323), won; under 67.5 points (−323), won. The best pick was Georgia State to win, at 82% confidence.