Clemson vs Florida State Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
CLEM	10	13	3	10	36
FSU	7	3	0	14	24

Clemson vs Florida St picks

3 picks · Florida St by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 won

Moneyline

FSU MLodds up −222 Lost 89%

Florida St wins the game.

Confidence89%

Model65.3% SportsbooksOdds66.7% Edge−1.4

SpreadBest pick

CLEM +13.5odds down −278 Won 76%

Clemson wins, or loses by 13 points or fewer.

Confidence76%

Model66.7% SportsbooksOdds68.1% Edge−1.4

Total

Over 42.5odds down −270 Won 74%

The two teams score 43 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model70.1% SportsbooksOdds68.3% Edge+1.8

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Clemson014071421

Florida St014771428

Most likely final scoresCLEM 21–28 FSU 0.6%CLEM 21–24 FSU 0.5%CLEM 24–27 FSU 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

ClemsonFlorida St

Offense

373▼ 351 Total yards ▲ 415381

208▼ 189 Passing yards ▲ 350225

165▼ 162 Rushing yards ▼ 65156

21▼ 19 First downs ▲ 2120

Scoring

3= 3 Touchdowns = 33

1▲ 2 Passing touchdowns = 22

2▼ 1 Rushing touchdowns = 11

0▲ 5 Field goals made ▼ 12

Ball security

1▼ 0 Turnovers ▲ 41

1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown ▲ 31

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost = 11

0 Sacks allowed 0

58▲ 70 Penalty yards ▼ 4353

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 300.5 Proj. 373 72% Won · 351

Passing yards Over 151.5 Proj. 208 72% Won · 189

Rushing yards Over 112.5 Proj. 165 72% Won · 162

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 21 75% Won · 19

Total yards Over 307.5 Proj. 381 72% Won · 415

Passing yards Over 167.5 Proj. 225 72% Won · 350

Rushing yards Over 103.5 Proj. 156 72% Lost · 65

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 73% Won · 21

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Clemson

QB Tait Reynolds18/27 · 191 pass yds · 0.5 TD · 0.4 INT 191pass yds

RB Gideon Davidson14 carries · 77 rush yds · 1.1 TD · 1 rec 77rush yds

WR/TE Bryant Wesco Jr.5 rec · 62 yds · 0.0 TD 62rec yds

WR/TE Tyler Brown5 rec · 44 yds · 0.0 TD 44rec yds

Florida St

QB Ashton Daniels17/28 · 222 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.8 INT 222pass yds

RB Ousmane Kromah16 carries · 74 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 74rush yds

WR/TE Duce Robinson4 rec · 56 yds · 0.7 TD 56rec yds

WR/TE Tre Wisner2 rec · 35 yds · 0.3 TD 35rec yds

Road form. Clemson is 1-1 on the road this season, losing by 13.5 points a game.

Home form. Florida St is 3-1 at home, scoring 32.5 points a game there.

Total move. The total opened at 49.5 and is now 50.5.

Rest. Clemson comes in on 7 days’ rest, Florida St on 14.

Tale of the tape

ClemsonFlorida State

4-3Record3-4

1-1 roadRoad / home3-1 home

L1StreakL2

7 daysRest14 days

21.4Points per game31.6

21.3Points allowed27.9

+1 Point differentialseason to date +26

183Passing yards / game234

150Rushing yards / game180

32%3rd-down conversion42%

7Takeaways6

0Sacks0

11Turnovers10

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Clemson’s road games with Florida St’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.