Charlotte vs UAB Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
CLT	0	3	3	6	12
UAB	0	3	3	17	23

Charlotte vs UAB picks

3 picks · UAB by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 won

MoneylineBest pick

UAB MLodds up −357 Won 91%

UAB wins the game.

Confidence91%

Model75.6% SportsbooksOdds78.9% Edge−3.3

Spread

CLT +19.5odds down −345 Won 79%

Charlotte wins, or loses by 19 points or fewer.

Confidence79%

Model68.9% SportsbooksOdds69.2% Edge−0.3

Total

Over 40.5odds up −250 Lost 74%

The two teams score 41 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model59.2% SportsbooksOdds69.8% Edge−10.6

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Charlotte0768721

UAB014771428

Most likely final scoresCLT 21–28 UAB 0.5%CLT 28–35 UAB 0.5%CLT 21–35 UAB 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

CharlotteUAB

Offense

303▼ 234 Total yards ▼ 319397

161▲ 175 Passing yards ▼ 141233

142▼ 59 Rushing yards ▲ 178164

17▼ 10 First downs = 2121

Scoring

3▼ 1 Touchdowns ▼ 23

1= 1 Passing touchdowns ▼ 01

2▼ 0 Rushing touchdowns = 22

0▲ 2 Field goals made ▲ 32

Ball security

1▼ 0 Turnovers ▲ 41

1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown ▲ 31

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost = 11

0 Sacks allowed 0

43▼ 42 Penalty yards ▼ 1551

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 230.5 Proj. 303 72% Won · 234

Passing yards Over 104.5 Proj. 162 72% Won · 175

Rushing yards Over 89.5 Proj. 142 72% Lost · 59

First downs Over 13.5 Proj. 17 72% Lost · 10

Total yards Over 324.5 Proj. 398 72% Lost · 319

Passing yards Over 176.5 Proj. 234 72% Lost · 141

Rushing yards Over 111.5 Proj. 164 72% Won · 178

First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 21 71% Won · 21

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Charlotte

QB Conner Harrell13/21 · 149 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.5 INT 149pass yds

RB Henry Rutledge14 carries · 98 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 98rush yds

WR/TE Jaden Barnes5 rec · 52 yds · 0.2 TD 52rec yds

WR/TE Derrick Eley2 rec · 41 yds · 0.6 TD 41rec yds

UAB

QB Ryder Burton19/29 · 228 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 228pass yds

RB Roderick Robinson II13 carries · 62 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 62rush yds

WR/TE C.J. Smith4 rec · 76 yds · 0.3 TD 76rec yds

WR/TE EJ Reid4 rec · 20 yds · 0.0 TD 20rec yds

Road form. Charlotte is 1-3 on the road this season, losing by 17.5 points a game.

Home form. UAB is 4-0 at home, scoring 28.3 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at UAB −10.5 and is now UAB −7.5, a 3-point move toward Charlotte.

Rest. Charlotte comes in on 8 days’ rest, UAB on 7.

Tale of the tape

CharlotteUAB

1-7Record4-4

1-3 roadRoad / home4-0 home

L1StreakL1

8 daysRest7 days

20.6Points per game21.6

40.3Points allowed25.3

−157 Point differentialseason to date −29

205Passing yards / game170

124Rushing yards / game149

34%3rd-down conversion40%

6Takeaways10

0Sacks0

16Turnovers12

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Charlotte’s road games with UAB’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.