Moneyline
BAL MLodds up −217
53%
The Ravens win the game.
Confidence53%
Model51.9%
SportsbooksOdds67.4%
Edge−15.5
Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens prediction, picks and odds
Updated 3:03 PM ET
Chargers vs Ravens picks
3 picks · Ravens by 3 · 37 pointsSpread
LAC +9.5−238
71%
The Chargers win, or lose by nine points or fewer.
Confidence71%
Model63.0%
SportsbooksOdds67.1%
Edge−4.1
TotalBest pick
Over 32odds down −286
77%
The two teams score 33 or more points between them (exactly 32 is a push).
Confidence77%
Model64.7%
SportsbooksOdds69.9%
Edge−5.2
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Chargers03140317
Ravens0100101020
Most likely final scoresLAC 17–20 BAL 0.9%LAC 20–23 BAL 0.6%LAC 24–27 BAL 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
ChargersRavens
Offense
318
Total yards
324
211
Passing yards
194
107
Rushing yards
130
18
First downs
18
Scoring
2
Touchdowns
2
1
Passing touchdowns
1
1
Rushing touchdowns
1
1
Field goals made
2
Ball security
1
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions thrown
1
1
Fumbles lost
1
3
Sacks allowed
2
53
Penalty yards
54
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 271.5
Proj. 318
72%
Passing yards
Over 169.5
Proj. 211
72%
Rushing yards
Over 78.5
Proj. 107
72%
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 18
70%
Total yards
Over 277.5
Proj. 324
72%
Passing yards
Over 153.5
Proj. 195
72%
Rushing yards
Over 101.5
Proj. 130
72%
First downs
Over 14.5
Proj. 18
75%
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Chargers
QB
Justin Herbert19/30 · 211 pass yds · 0.8 TD · 0.8 INT
211pass yds
RB
Omarion Hampton11 carries · 35 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 2 rec
35rush yds
WR/TE
Charlie Kolar3 rec · 34 yds · 0.0 TD
34rec yds
WR/TE
Oronde Gadsden II3 rec · 25 yds · 0.0 TD
25rec yds
Ravens
QB
Joe Fagnano16/24 · 194 pass yds · 0.0 TD · 0.8 INT
194pass yds
RB
Derrick Henry19 carries · 68 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 1 rec
68rush yds
WR/TE
Zay Flowers5 rec · 74 yds · 0.3 TD
74rec yds
WR/TE
Justice Hill3 rec · 17 yds · 0.0 TD
17rec yds
Road form. The Chargers are 0-4 on the road this season, losing by 11.5 points a game.
Home form. The Ravens are 1-3 at home, scoring 16.0 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at BAL −5.5 and is now BAL −4.5, a 1-point move toward the Chargers.
Rest. The Chargers come in on 8 days’ rest, the Ravens on 11.
Streak. The Chargers have lost 8 in a row.
Tale of the tape
Los Angeles ChargersBaltimore Ravens
Los Angeles ChargersBaltimore Ravens
0-8Record4-5
0-4 roadRoad / home1-3 home
L8StreakL4
8 daysRest11 days
15.1Points per game21.0
27.4Points allowed26.2
4th AFC WestDivision4th AFC North
−98
Point differentialseason to date
−47
4.7Yards per play5.5
177Passing yards / game188
115Rushing yards / game138
34%3rd-down conversion38%
47%Red-zone touchdowns59%
12Takeaways9
13Sacks17
19Turnovers11
4.7Yards per play5.4
197Passing yards / game202
104Rushing yards / game119
36%3rd-down conversion39%
27%Red-zone touchdowns50%
9Takeaways3
8Sacks5
9Turnovers5
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Chargers’ road games with the Ravens’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Chargers
0-8
LLLLL
Wk 9Nov 8vs HOU
Texans44Chargers22
Texans moneyline −250Chargers moneyline +195
LFINAL
Wk 8Nov 1@ LAR
Chargers9Rams24
Chargers moneyline +235Rams moneyline −303
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ KC
Chargers6Chiefs22
Chargers moneyline +330Chiefs moneyline −417
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11vs DEN
Broncos23Chargers17
Broncos moneyline −189Chargers moneyline +151
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4@ SEA
Chargers23Seahawks30
Chargers moneyline +265Seahawks moneyline −357
LFINAL
Ravens
4-5
WLLLL
Wk 9Nov 5vs JAX
Jaguars33Ravens10
Jaguars moneyline −500Ravens moneyline +375
LFINAL
Wk 8Nov 1@ BUF
Ravens10Bills36
Ravens moneyline +147Bills moneyline −175
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 25vs CIN
Bengals35Ravens13
Bengals moneyline −154Ravens moneyline +130
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ CLE
Ravens10Browns13
Ravens moneyline −169Browns moneyline +144
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ ATL
Ravens30Falcons23
Ravens moneyline +145Falcons moneyline −175
WF/OT
Standings
2026 regular season · after Week 9Teams in this gameAFC West
Head-to-head
Last two meetings · regular season and playoffs
CHARGERS
0
Wins
Avg. points16.5 – 25.0
Avg. total41.5 pts
Over closing total1 of 2
2
RAVENS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2024 · Wk 12SoFi Stadium
Ravens30Chargers23
Ravens moneyline −167Chargers moneyline +133
2023 · Wk 12SoFi Stadium
Ravens20Chargers10
Ravens moneyline −164Chargers moneyline +135
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (LAC)+175+175
Moneyline (BAL)−217up −213
Spread (BAL)−5.5up −4.5
Total38up 38.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Injury report
The teams’ current reports: out, doubtful and questionable firstChargers
INACTIVE
Brenen ThompsonWR
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Houston
INACTIVE
Deane LeonardCB
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Houston
NFI
Isaiah World
Knee
INACTIVE
Kayode Awosika
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Houston
INACTIVE
Kendall WilliamsonS
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Houston
INACTIVE
Theo WeaseWR
Coach's Decision
QUESTIONABLE
Isas WaxterCB
Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
Justin EboigbeDT
Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
Justin HerbertQB
Finger
QUESTIONABLE
Ladd McConkeyWR
Back
Reserve lists (IR / PUP) · 7
IRDavid NjokuTELower Leg
IRDenzel PerrymanLBUndisclosed
IRAlec IngoldFBShoulder
IRTrevor PenningConcussion
IRTrey LanceQBGroin
IRRashawn SlaterAnkle
IRTyler BiadaszKnee
Ravens
INACTIVE
Aeneas PeeblesDT
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Elijah SarrattWR
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Emery Jones
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Jaylinn HawkinsS
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Jacksonville
INACTIVE
Kedon SlovisQB
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Nate WigginsCB
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Jacksonville
QUESTIONABLE
Kyle HamiltonS
Hip
Reserve lists (IR / PUP) · 12
IRAdam RandallRBNeck
IRLamar JacksonQBThumb
IRTyler HuntleyQBToe
IRBilhal KoneCBLower Body
IREthan PocicKnee
IRTyler LoopPKGroin
IRTavius RobinsonLBPectoral
IRDurham SmytheTEAchilles
IRJovaughn GwynAnkle
IRDanny PinterKnee
IRJahquez RobinsonUndisclosed
IRSkylar ThompsonUndisclosed
The Los Angeles Chargers visit the Baltimore Ravens in NFL Week 10 of the 2026 season (Monday Night Football on ESPN), on Monday, November 16 at 8:15 PM ET, at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore. The Chargers come in at 0-8 and the Ravens at 4-5. The moneyline has the Chargers at +175 and the Ravens at −213.
Our model predicts a final score of Chargers 17, Ravens 20. Its picks: the Ravens to win (−217); the Chargers +9.5 (−238); over 32 points (−286). The best pick is over 32 points, at 77% confidence.