MoneylineBest pick
UTAH MLodds down −204
Won 84%
Utah wins the game.
Confidence84%
Model67.0%
SportsbooksOdds63.8%
Edge+3.2
BYU vs Utah prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 7, 3:33 PM ET
BYU vs Utah picks
3 picks · Utah by 7 · 49 points · 3 of 3 wonSpread
UTAH −4.5odds up −112
Won 71%
Utah wins by five points or more.
Confidence71%
Model54.2%
SportsbooksOdds50.0%
Edge+4.2
Total
Over 47.5odds down −145
Won 74%
The two teams score 48 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model58.2%
SportsbooksOdds50.7%
Edge+7.5
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
BYU7077721
Utah77771428
Most likely final scoresBYU 21–28 UTAH 0.6%BYU 24–31 UTAH 0.6%BYU 14–38 UTAH 0.4%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
BYUUtah
Offense
366▲ 391
Total yards
▼ 328401
232▲ 272
Passing yards
▼ 206231
134▼ 119
Rushing yards
▼ 122170
19▼ 15
First downs
▼ 1623
Scoring
3▼ 2
Touchdowns
= 44
1= 1
Passing touchdowns
= 22
2▼ 1
Rushing touchdowns
= 22
Ball security
1▲ 4
Turnovers
▲ 21
1▲ 4
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▲ 21
0
Sacks allowed
0
52▲ 80
Penalty yards
▼ 1948
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 292.5
Proj. 366
72%
Won · 391
Passing yards
Over 174.5
Proj. 232
72%
Won · 272
Rushing yards
Over 81.5
Proj. 134
72%
Won · 119
First downs
Over 14.5
Proj. 19
74%
Won · 15
Total yards
Over 328.5
Proj. 401
72%
Lost · 328
Passing yards
Over 174.5
Proj. 232
72%
Won · 206
Rushing yards
Over 117.5
Proj. 170
72%
Won · 122
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 23
74%
Lost · 16
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
BYU
QB
Bear Bachmeier17/31 · 229 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.6 INT
229pass yds
RB
Sione I Moa10 carries · 46 rush yds · 1.3 TD · 2 rec
46rush yds
WR/TE
Legend Glasker4 rec · 77 yds · 0.3 TD
77rec yds
WR/TE
Kyler Kasper4 rec · 58 yds · 0.4 TD
58rec yds
Utah
QB
Devon Dampier21/33 · 223 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
223pass yds
RB
Wayshawn Parker13 carries · 78 rush yds · 0.9 TD · 3 rec
78rush yds
WR/TE
Braden Pegan5 rec · 61 yds · 0.8 TD
61rec yds
WR/TE
Creed Whittemore3 rec · 47 yds · 0.0 TD
47rec yds
Road form. BYU is 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 5.7 points a game.
Home form. Utah is 5-0 at home, scoring 40.8 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at UTAH −2.5 and is now UTAH −4.5, a 2-point move toward Utah.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Streak. Utah has won 8 in a row.
Tale of the tape
BYUUtah
BYUUtah
7-1Record8-0
2-1 roadRoad / home5-0 home
W1StreakW8
7 daysRest7 days
32.4Points per game38.9
18.8Points allowed15.9
+109
Point differentialseason to date
+184
223Passing yards / game259
175Rushing yards / game227
51%3rd-down conversion54%
9Takeaways12
0Sacks0
8Turnovers10
182Passing yards / game264
201Rushing yards / game242
48%3rd-down conversion58%
2Takeaways6
0Sacks0
3Turnovers6
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares BYU’s road games with Utah’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
BYU
7-1
WWWLW
Wk 9Oct 31vs ASU
Arizona St20BYU27
Arizona St moneyline +600BYU moneyline −1111
WFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24@ UCF
BYU31UCF39
BYU moneyline −345UCF moneyline +250
LF/OT
Wk 7Oct 17vs ND
Notre Dame24BYU28
Notre Dame moneyline −476BYU moneyline +350
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 9vs ISU
Iowa State10BYU24
Iowa State moneyline +350BYU moneyline −476
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ TCU
BYU17TCU10
BYU moneyline −233TCU moneyline +175
WFINAL
Utah
8-0
WWWWW
Wk 9Oct 31@ CIN
Utah49Cincinnati25
Utah moneyline −303Cincinnati moneyline +225
WFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24vs HOU
Houston13Utah21
Houston moneyline +190Utah moneyline −263
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17@ COLO
Utah27Colorado24
Utah moneyline −833Colorado moneyline +540
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs KU
Kansas24Utah41
Kansas moneyline +500Utah moneyline −769
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ ISU
Utah31Iowa State17
Utah moneyline −333Iowa State moneyline +245
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameBig 12
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
BYU
1
Wins
Avg. points24.0 – 21.0
Avg. total45.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
0
UTAH
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 8LaVell Edwards Stadium
BYU24Utah21
BYU moneyline −204Utah moneyline +155
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (BYU)+160down +150
Moneyline (UTAH)−200up −185
Spread (UTAH)−2.5down −4.5
Total48.5up 49.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Utah beat BYU 28–20 in college football Week 10, on Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET. The moneyline had BYU at +150 and Utah at −185.
Our model predicted a final score of BYU 21, Utah 28. Its picks: Utah to win (−204), won; Utah −4.5 (−112), won; over 47.5 points (−145), won. The best pick was Utah to win, at 84% confidence.