Moneyline
CAR MLodds up −159
Lost 82%
The Panthers win the game.
Confidence82%
Model66.0%
SportsbooksOdds62.0%
Edge+4.0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 7 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 43 |
| CAR | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 13 |
BUCCANEERS 34%
Pre-game win chance
66% PANTHERS
CAR by 3 · 51 points
Updated Oct 25, 3:57 PM ET
Buccaneers vs Panthers picks
3 picks · Panthers by 3 · 51 points · 1 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
CAR +3.5odds up −286
Lost 78%
The Panthers win, or lose by three points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model77.2%
SportsbooksOdds72.9%
Edge+4.3
Total
Over 37.5odds down −286
Won 76%
The two teams score 38 or more points between them.
Confidence76%
Model70.2%
SportsbooksOdds70.0%
Edge+0.2
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Buccaneers770101424
Panthers0107101027
Most likely final scoresTB 24–27 CAR 0.8%TB 20–23 CAR 0.7%TB 21–24 CAR 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
BuccaneersPanthers
Offense
312▲ 322
Total yards
▼ 266346
191▼ 64
Passing yards
▼ 178249
121▲ 258
Rushing yards
▼ 8897
19▲ 21
First downs
▼ 1520
Scoring
3▲ 5
Touchdowns
▼ 23
2▼ 1
Passing touchdowns
▼ 12
1▲ 3
Rushing touchdowns
= 11
1▲ 2
Field goals made
▼ 02
Ball security
1▼ 0
Turnovers
▲ 41
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
▲ 21
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▲ 21
3▼ 0
Sacks allowed
▲ 52
53▼ 35
Penalty yards
▼ 5657
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 266.5
Proj. 312
72%
Won · 322
Passing yards
Over 149.5
Proj. 191
72%
Lost · 64
Rushing yards
Over 92.5
Proj. 121
72%
Won · 258
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 19
70%
Won · 21
Total yards
Over 299.5
Proj. 346
72%
Lost · 266
Passing yards
Over 207.5
Proj. 249
72%
Lost · 178
Rushing yards
Over 68.5
Proj. 97
72%
Won · 88
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 20
72%
Lost · 15
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Buccaneers
QB
Jalon Daniels17/26 · 155 pass yds · 1.5 TD · 0.7 INT
155pass yds
RB
Bucky Irving16 carries · 71 rush yds · 0.4 TD · 4 rec
71rush yds
WR/TE
Emeka Egbuka5 rec · 46 yds · 0.8 TD
46rec yds
WR/TE
Chris Godwin4 rec · 42 yds · 0.0 TD
42rec yds
Panthers
QB
Bryce Young24/37 · 249 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
249pass yds
RB
Chuba Hubbard17 carries · 76 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 2 rec
76rush yds
WR/TE
Tetairoa McMillan6 rec · 79 yds · 0.4 TD
79rec yds
WR/TE
Tommy Tremble3 rec · 22 yds · 0.4 TD
22rec yds
Road form. The Buccaneers are 1-1 on the road this season, winning by 1.0 points a game.
Home form. The Panthers are 1-1 at home, scoring 34.5 points a game there.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Division game. Two NFC South rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
The series. The Buccaneers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Tale of the tape
Tampa Bay BuccaneersCarolina Panthers
Tampa Bay BuccaneersCarolina Panthers
1-5Record3-2
1-1 roadRoad / home1-1 home
L1StreakW2
7 daysRest7 days
19.8Points per game29.2
23.0Points allowed24.6
−19
Point differentialseason to date
+23
4.7Yards per play5.9
165Passing yards / game296
128Rushing yards / game109
37%3rd-down conversion39%
47%Red-zone touchdowns67%
8Takeaways7
11Sacks11
11Turnovers4
6.0Yards per play6.9
186Passing yards / game336
165Rushing yards / game126
52%3rd-down conversion43%
56%Red-zone touchdowns88%
4Takeaways1
1Sacks3
4Turnovers3
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Buccaneers’ road games with the Panthers’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Buccaneers
1-5
LLLWL
Wk 6Oct 18vs PIT
Steelers26Buccaneers19
Steelers moneyline −135Buccaneers moneyline +116
LF/OT
Wk 5Oct 8@ DAL
Buccaneers24Cowboys16
Buccaneers moneyline +370Cowboys moneyline −526
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs GB
Packers17Buccaneers14
Packers moneyline −156Buccaneers moneyline +130
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27vs MIN
Vikings23Buccaneers16
Vikings moneyline −116Buccaneers moneyline −105
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20vs CLE
Browns23Buccaneers19
Browns moneyline +320Buccaneers moneyline −435
LFINAL
Panthers
3-2
LWLWW
Wk 6Oct 18@ PHI
Panthers25Eagles14
Panthers moneyline −156Eagles moneyline +132
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs DET
Lions26Panthers32
Lions moneyline −222Panthers moneyline +180
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ CLE
Panthers18Browns21
Panthers moneyline −135Browns moneyline +103
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20@ ATL
Panthers34Falcons3
Panthers moneyline −147Falcons moneyline +118
WFINAL
Wk 1Sep 13vs CHI
Bears59Panthers37
Bears moneyline −167Panthers moneyline +135
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameNFC South
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
Last five meetings · regular season and playoffs
BUCCANEERS
4
Wins
Avg. points23.8 – 14.8
Avg. total38.6 pts
Over closing total2 of 5
1
PANTHERS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 18Raymond James Stadium
Panthers14Buccaneers16
Panthers moneyline +128Buccaneers moneyline −167
2025 · Wk 16Bank of America Stadium
Buccaneers20Panthers23
Buccaneers moneyline −159Panthers moneyline +130
2024 · Wk 17Raymond James Stadium
Panthers14Buccaneers48
Panthers moneyline +370Buccaneers moneyline −526
2024 · Wk 13Bank of America Stadium
Buccaneers26Panthers23
Buccaneers moneyline −313Panthers moneyline +235
2023 · Wk 18Bank of America Stadium
Buccaneers9Panthers0
Buccaneers moneyline −244Panthers moneyline +195
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (TB)+134up +139
Moneyline (CAR)−159down −164
Spread (CAR)−2.5−2.5
Total44.544.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Carolina Panthers 43–13 in NFL Week 7 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM ET, at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte. The moneyline had the Buccaneers at +139 and the Panthers at −164.
Our model predicted a final score of Buccaneers 24, Panthers 27. Its picks: the Panthers to win (−159), lost; the Panthers +3.5 (−286), lost; over 37.5 points (−286), won. The best pick was the Panthers +3.5, at 78% confidence.