Boston College vs Notre Dame Prediction & Picks

Boston College vs Notre Dame picks

3 picks · Notre Dame by 35 · 49 points

Moneyline

ND ML−10000 95%

Notre Dame wins the game.

Confidence95%

Model98.1% SportsbooksOdds97.8% Edge+0.3

SpreadBest pick

ND −26.5odds up −189 77%

Notre Dame wins by 27 points or more.

Confidence77%

Model69.5% SportsbooksOdds62.3% Edge+7.2

Total

Over 48.5odds down −179 74%

The two teams score 49 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model62.2% SportsbooksOdds60.0% Edge+2.2

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Boston College700077

Notre Dame721772842

Most likely final scoresBC 7–42 ND 0.9%BC 7–45 ND 0.8%BC 0–54 ND 0.7%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

Boston CollegeNotre Dame

Offense

254 Total yards 433

156 Passing yards 244

98 Rushing yards 189

16 First downs 23

Scoring

1 Touchdowns 5

1 Passing touchdowns 2

0 Rushing touchdowns 3

0 Field goals made 2

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1

1 Interceptions thrown 1

1 Fumbles lost 1

0 Sacks allowed 0

56 Penalty yards 53

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 180.5 Proj. 254 72%

Passing yards Over 99.5 Proj. 156 72%

Rushing yards Over 45.5 Proj. 97 72%

First downs Over 11.5 Proj. 16 74%

Total yards Over 360.5 Proj. 433 72%

Passing yards Over 186.5 Proj. 244 72%

Rushing yards Over 137.5 Proj. 189 72%

First downs Over 19.5 Proj. 23 72%

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Boston College

QB Mason McKenzie14/25 · 148 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 148pass yds

RB Bo MacCormack III9 carries · 33 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 2 rec 33rush yds

WR/TE Javarius Green3 rec · 32 yds · 0.3 TD 32rec yds

WR/TE Johnathan Montague Jr.2 rec · 20 yds · 0.0 TD 20rec yds

Notre Dame

QB C.J. Carr19/29 · 228 pass yds · 1.9 TD · 0.7 INT 228pass yds

RB Nolan James Jr.12 carries · 64 rush yds · 1.3 TD · 2 rec 64rush yds

WR/TE Jordan Faison5 rec · 64 yds · 0.4 TD 64rec yds

WR/TE Micah Gilbert3 rec · 44 yds · 0.5 TD 44rec yds

Total move. The total opened at 51.5 and is now 52.5.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Tale of the tape

Boston CollegeNotre Dame

4-5Record8-1

L2StreakW2

7 daysRest7 days

21.9Points per game39.3

27.0Points allowed14.6

14th ACCConference1st FBS Independents

−46 Point differentialseason to date +223

186Passing yards / game264

166Rushing yards / game176

37%3rd-down conversion42%

15Takeaways18

0Sacks0

14Turnovers2

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Boston College’s road games with Notre Dame’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.