The Bengals win, or lose by seven points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model78.1%SportsbooksOdds71.5%Edge+6.6
Total
Under 58.5▾odds down −556Won77%
The two teams score 58 or fewer points between them.
Confidence77%
Model75.4%SportsbooksOdds70.5%Edge+4.9
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
CINBengals0100101020
BALRavens0377317
Most likely final scoresCIN 20–17 BAL 0.9%CIN 27–24 BAL 0.8%CIN 23–20 BAL 0.7%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
CINBengalsRavensBAL
Offense
342▲ 358Total yards▲ 359349
244▲ 284Passing yards▲ 276203
98▼ 74Rushing yards▼ 83146
21= 21First downs▼ 1720
Scoring
2▲ 5Touchdowns▼ 12
1▲ 4Passing touchdowns= 11
1= 1Rushing touchdowns▼ 01
2▼ 0Field goals made▲ 21
Ball security
1▼ 0Turnovers= 11
1▼ 0Interceptions thrown= 11
1▼ 0Fumbles lost▼ 01
2▼ 1Sacks allowed▲ 43
52▼ 15Penalty yards▲ 5753
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
CINTotal yardsOver 295.5Proj. 34272%Won · 358
CINPassing yardsOver 203.5Proj. 24472%Won · 284
CINRushing yardsOver 69.5Proj. 9872%Won · 74
CINFirst downsOver 17.5Proj. 2174%Won · 21
BALTotal yardsOver 302.5Proj. 34972%Won · 359
BALPassing yardsOver 162.5Proj. 20472%Won · 276
BALRushing yardsOver 117.5Proj. 14672%Lost · 83
BALFirst downsOver 17.5Proj. 2068%Lost · 17
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Road form.The Bengals are 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 6.0 points a game.
Home form.The Ravens are 1-1 at home, scoring 20.5 points a game there.
Line move.The spread opened at BAL −3.5 and is now BAL +2.5, a 6-point move toward the Bengals.
Rest.The Bengals come in on 14 days’ rest, the Ravens on 7.
Division game.Two AFC North rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
CINCincinnati BengalsBALBaltimore Ravens
CINCincinnati BengalsBALBaltimore Ravens
3-2Record4-2
2-1 roadRoad / home1-1 home
W1StreakL1
14 daysRest7 days
25.6Points per game26.0
21.8Points allowed22.0
+19Point differentialseason to date+24
5.5Yards per play6.0
260Passing yards / game216
83Rushing yards / game152
50%3rd-down conversion38%
53%Red-zone touchdowns71%
8Takeaways6
17Sacks15
6Turnovers4
5.2Yards per play5.9
214Passing yards / game238
95Rushing yards / game110
50%3rd-down conversion32%
63%Red-zone touchdowns80%
4Takeaways2
9Sacks4
3Turnovers1
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Bengals’ road games with the Ravens’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
CINBengals3-2WWLLW
Wk 5Oct 11@ MIA
CINBengals31MIADolphins24
Bengals moneyline −370Dolphins moneyline +267
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs JAX
JAXJaguars22CINBengals17
Jaguars moneyline +116Bengals moneyline −149
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ PIT
CINBengals27PITSteelers30
Bengals moneyline −182Steelers moneyline +150
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20@ HOU
CINBengals20HOUTexans6
Bengals moneyline +120Texans moneyline −147
WFINAL
Wk 1Sep 13vs TB
TBBuccaneers27CINBengals33
Buccaneers moneyline +170Bengals moneyline −208
WFINAL
BALRavens4-2LWWWL
Wk 6Oct 18@ CLE
BALRavens10CLEBrowns13
Ravens moneyline −169Browns moneyline +144
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ ATL
BALRavens30ATLFalcons23
Ravens moneyline +145Falcons moneyline −175
WF/OT
Wk 4Oct 4vs TEN
TENTitans18BALRavens24
Titans moneyline +525Ravens moneyline −769
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ DAL
BALRavens34DALCowboys31
Ravens moneyline −182Cowboys moneyline +150
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20vs NO
NOSaints24BALRavens17
Saints moneyline +315Ravens moneyline −435
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this game
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 15Paycor Stadium
BALRavens24CINBengals0
Ravens moneyline −167Bengals moneyline +133
2025 · Wk 13M&T Bank Stadium
CINBengals32BALRavens14
Bengals moneyline +315Ravens moneyline −435
2024 · Wk 10M&T Bank Stadium
CINBengals34BALRavens35
Bengals moneyline +215Ravens moneyline −278
2024 · Wk 5Paycor Stadium
BALRavens41CINBengals38
Ravens moneyline −143Bengals moneyline +112
2023 · Wk 11M&T Bank Stadium
CINBengals20BALRavens34
Bengals moneyline +170Ravens moneyline −200
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (CIN)−154−154
Moneyline (BAL)+130+130
Spread (BAL)−3.5▴up +2.5
Total51▾down 46.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Cincinnati Bengals beat the Baltimore Ravens 35–13 in NFL Week 7 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM ET, at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore. The moneyline had the Bengals at −154 and the Ravens at +130.
Our model predicted a final score of Bengals 20, Ravens 17. Its picks: the Bengals to win (−159), won; the Bengals +7.5 (−526), won; under 58.5 points (−556), won. The best pick was the Bengals +7.5, at 78% confidence.