Moneyline
ARMY MLodds down −116
Won 67%
Army wins the game.
Confidence67%
Model56.0%
SportsbooksOdds47.4%
Edge+8.6
Army vs Tulsa prediction, picks and odds
Updated Oct 24, 12:30 AM ET
Army vs Tulsa picks
3 picks · Army by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
ARMY +7.5odds down −303
Won 78%
Army wins, or loses by seven points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model76.4%
SportsbooksOdds71.5%
Edge+4.9
Total
Under 62.5odds down −286
Lost 74%
The two teams score 62 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model81.1%
SportsbooksOdds70.2%
Edge+10.9
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Army770141428
Tulsa77071421
Most likely final scoresARMY 28–21 TLSA 0.6%ARMY 24–21 TLSA 0.6%ARMY 21–14 TLSA 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line
ArmyTulsa
Offense
389▼ 384
Total yards
▲ 410365
118▼ 109
Passing yards
▲ 262213
271▲ 275
Rushing yards
▼ 148152
21▼ 16
First downs
▲ 2019
Scoring
4= 4
Touchdowns
▲ 53
1▼ 0
Passing touchdowns
= 22
3▲ 4
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 31
Ball security
1▼ 0
Turnovers
= 11
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
45▼ 30
Penalty yards
▼ 3046
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 316.5
Proj. 389
72%
Won · 384
Passing yards
Over 61.5
Proj. 119
72%
Won · 109
Rushing yards
Over 218.5
Proj. 271
72%
Won · 275
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
71%
Lost · 16
Total yards
Over 291.5
Proj. 365
72%
Won · 410
Passing yards
Over 156.5
Proj. 213
72%
Won · 262
Rushing yards
Over 99.5
Proj. 152
72%
Won · 148
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 19
71%
Won · 20
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Army
QB
Cale Hellums9/16 · 102 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.6 INT
102pass yds
RB
Carson Smith7 carries · 22 rush yds · 0.1 TD · 1 rec
22rush yds
WR/TE
Zach Mundell3 rec · 34 yds · 0.3 TD
34rec yds
WR/TE
Brady Anderson2 rec · 31 yds · 0.0 TD
31rec yds
Tulsa
QB
Baylor Hayes19/30 · 211 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.0 INT
211pass yds
RB
Damari Alston12 carries · 45 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 3 rec
45rush yds
WR/TE
Oran Singleton6 rec · 66 yds · 0.5 TD
66rec yds
WR/TE
David Wells Jr.3 rec · 38 yds · 0.8 TD
38rec yds
Road form. Army is 1-1 on the road this season, winning by 1.0 points a game.
Home form. Tulsa is 2-1 at home, scoring 36.7 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at TLSA −1.5 and is now TLSA +1.5, a 3-point move toward Army.
Rest. Both teams come in on 6 days’ rest.
Tale of the tape
ArmyTulsa
ArmyTulsa
4-2Record4-3
1-1 roadRoad / home2-1 home
W2StreakW1
6 daysRest6 days
34.8Points per game29.0
20.0Points allowed22.4
+89
Point differentialseason to date
+46
69Passing yards / game204
358Rushing yards / game160
52%3rd-down conversion31%
4Takeaways15
0Sacks0
2Turnovers4
94Passing yards / game201
275Rushing yards / game187
50%3rd-down conversion22%
0Takeaways8
0Sacks0
1Turnovers2
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Army’s road games with Tulsa’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Army
4-2
LWLWW
Wk 7Oct 17vs FAU
FAU24Army56
FAU moneyline +102Army moneyline −125
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs TULN
Tulane17Army20
Tulane moneyline +148Army moneyline −182
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ LT
Army29Louisiana Tech31
Army moneyline −112Louisiana Tech moneyline −112
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 25@ TEM
Army21Temple17
Army moneyline −204Temple moneyline +152
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12vs USF
South Florida28Army24
South Florida moneyline +135Army moneyline −182
LFINAL
Tulsa
4-3
WLLLW
Wk 7Oct 17@ RICE
Tulsa38Rice17
Tulsa moneyline −200Rice moneyline +160
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ NAVY
Tulsa26Navy34
Tulsa moneyline +117Navy moneyline −159
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 1vs UNT
North Texas45Tulsa44
North Texas moneyline −149Tulsa moneyline +117
LF/OT
Wk 4Sep 26@ ARK
Tulsa6Arkansas34
Tulsa moneyline +205Arkansas moneyline −294
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs ETA
East Texas A&M0Tulsa42
East Texas A&M moneyline +1600Tulsa moneyline −10000
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameAmerican
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
ARMY
0
Wins
Avg. points25.0 – 26.0
Avg. total51.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 1
1
TULSA
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 13Army home
Tulsa26Army25
Tulsa moneyline +295Army moneyline −455
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (ARMY)−114down −125
Moneyline (TLSA)−118up −106
Spread (TLSA)−1.5up +1.5
Total52.5up 53.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Army beat Tulsa 38–35 in college football Week 8, on Friday, October 23 at 8:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Army at −125 and Tulsa at −106.
Our model predicted a final score of Army 28, Tulsa 21. Its picks: Army to win (−116), won; Army +7.5 (−303), won; under 62.5 points (−286), lost. The best pick was Army +7.5, at 78% confidence.