Army vs Memphis Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
ARMY	7	7	8	0	22
MEM	14	14	7	14	49

Army vs Memphis picks

3 picks · Memphis by 3 · 59 points · 1 of 3 won

Moneyline

MEM MLodds up −238 Won 75%

Memphis wins the game.

Confidence75%

Model59.1% SportsbooksOdds70.5% Edge−11.4

SpreadBest pick

ARMY +14.5odds down −303 Lost 78%

Army wins, or loses by 14 points or fewer.

Confidence78%

Model76.1% SportsbooksOdds69.8% Edge+6.3

Total

Under 65.5odds up −213 Lost 74%

The two teams score 65 or fewer points between them.

Confidence74%

Model78.2% SportsbooksOdds69.2% Edge+9.0

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Army07714728

Memphis0143141431

Most likely final scoresARMY 28–31 MEM 0.6%ARMY 24–27 MEM 0.6%ARMY 27–30 MEM 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

ArmyMemphis

Offense

357 Total yards 436

127 Passing yards 252

230 Rushing yards 184

18 First downs 22

Scoring

3= 3 Touchdowns ▲ 74

1= 1 Passing touchdowns ▲ 42

2= 2 Rushing touchdowns ▲ 32

2▼ 0 Field goals made ▼ 01

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1

1 Interceptions thrown 1

1 Fumbles lost 1

0 Sacks allowed 0

45 Penalty yards 47

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 284.5 Proj. 357 72% Void

Passing yards Over 70.5 Proj. 127 72% Void

Rushing yards Over 177.5 Proj. 230 72% Void

First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 18 73% Void

Total yards Over 363.5 Proj. 436 72% Void

Passing yards Over 195.5 Proj. 252 72% Void

Rushing yards Over 131.5 Proj. 184 72% Void

First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 22 72% Void

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Army

QB Cale Hellums9/17 · 104 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 104pass yds

RB Godspower Nwawuihe10 carries · 56 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 56rush yds

WR/TE Brady Anderson3 rec · 47 yds · 0.0 TD 47rec yds

WR/TE Samari Howard3 rec · 21 yds · 0.0 TD 21rec yds

Memphis

QB Marcus Stokes19/30 · 241 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.6 INT 241pass yds

RB Jaylin Carter13 carries · 79 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 2 rec 79rush yds

WR/TE Braylon Burnside4 rec · 57 yds · 0.2 TD 57rec yds

WR/TE Jemyri Davis3 rec · 46 yds · 0.4 TD 46rec yds

Road form. Army is 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 1.7 points a game.

Home form. Memphis is 4-0 at home, scoring 41.5 points a game there.

Rest. Army comes in on 7 days’ rest, Memphis on 8.

Streak. Army has won 3 in a row.

Tale of the tape

ArmyMemphis

5-2Record6-2

2-1 roadRoad / home4-0 home

W3StreakW1

7 daysRest8 days

35.3Points per game36.1

22.1Points allowed23.8

+92 Point differentialseason to date +99

75Passing yards / game281

346Rushing yards / game228

49%3rd-down conversion42%

5Takeaways16

0Sacks0

2Turnovers12

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Army’s road games with Memphis’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.