Arizona vs Texas Tech Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
ARIZ	3	14	6	3	26
TTU	7	3	14	10	34

Arizona vs Texas Tech picks

3 picks · Texas Tech by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 won

MoneylineBest pick

TTU ML−200 Won 82%

Texas Tech wins the game.

Confidence82%

Model64.9% SportsbooksOdds63.7% Edge+1.2

Spread

TTU −4.5odds up −106 Won 70%

Texas Tech wins by five points or more.

Confidence70%

Model51.8% SportsbooksOdds48.5% Edge+3.3

Total

Under 55.5odds down −125 Lost 74%

The two teams score 55 or fewer points between them.

Confidence74%

Model58.5% SportsbooksOdds50.0% Edge+8.5

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Arizona014071421

Texas Tech770141428

Most likely final scoresARIZ 21–28 TTU 0.6%ARIZ 14–21 TTU 0.5%ARIZ 7–35 TTU 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

ArizonaTexas Tech

Offense

385▲ 429 Total yards ▲ 472391

268▲ 417 Passing yards ▼ 144224

117▼ 12 Rushing yards ▲ 328167

20▼ 18 First downs ▼ 2021

Scoring

3= 3 Touchdowns ▲ 43

2▼ 1 Passing touchdowns ▲ 21

1▲ 2 Rushing touchdowns = 22

0▲ 2 Field goals made = 22

Ball security

1▼ 0 Turnovers = 11

1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost = 11

0 Sacks allowed 0

54▲ 55 Penalty yards ▲ 7452

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 311.5 Proj. 385 72% Won · 429

Passing yards Over 210.5 Proj. 268 72% Won · 417

Rushing yards Over 65.5 Proj. 118 72% Lost · 12

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 72% Won · 18

Total yards Over 318.5 Proj. 391 72% Won · 472

Passing yards Over 166.5 Proj. 224 72% Lost · 144

Rushing yards Over 114.5 Proj. 167 72% Won · 328

First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 21 70% Won · 20

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Arizona

QB Noah Fifita25/37 · 259 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.8 INT 259pass yds

RB Kedrick Reescano11 carries · 35 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 35rush yds

WR/TE Isaiah Mizell5 rec · 75 yds · 0.7 TD 75rec yds

WR/TE Brandon Phelps3 rec · 35 yds · 0.3 TD 35rec yds

Texas Tech

QB Will Hammond19/30 · 216 pass yds · 0.7 TD · 0.6 INT 216pass yds

RB J'Koby Williams12 carries · 79 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 3 rec 79rush yds

WR/TE Kenny Johnson5 rec · 72 yds · 0.1 TD 72rec yds

WR/TE Terrance Carter4 rec · 32 yds · 0.3 TD 32rec yds

Road form. Arizona is 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 6.7 points a game.

Home form. Texas Tech is 4-0 at home, scoring 40.8 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at TTU −6.5 and is now TTU −3.5, a 3-point move toward Arizona.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Streak. Arizona has won 5 in a row.

Tale of the tape

ArizonaTexas Tech

6-1Record6-1

2-1 roadRoad / home4-0 home

W5StreakL1

7 daysRest7 days

36.1Points per game35.9

16.7Points allowed20.4

+136 Point differentialseason to date +108

308Passing yards / game229

151Rushing yards / game190

55%3rd-down conversion38%

6Takeaways14

0Sacks0

8Turnovers12

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Arizona’s road games with Texas Tech’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.