Arizona State vs Texas Tech Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
ASU	7	3	7	8	25
TTU	21	22	0	10	53

Arizona St vs Texas Tech picks

3 picks · Texas Tech by 28 · 42 points · 3 of 3 won

Moneyline

TTU MLodds down −1000 Won 95%

Texas Tech wins the game.

Confidence95%

Model83.3% SportsbooksOdds87.8% Edge−4.5

SpreadBest pick

TTU −6.5odds down −357 Won 77%

Texas Tech wins by seven points or more.

Confidence77%

Model70.5% SportsbooksOdds70.8% Edge−0.3

Total

Over 41.5odds down −313 Won 74%

The two teams score 42 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model72.7% SportsbooksOdds68.9% Edge+3.8

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Arizona St070077

Texas Tech714772135

Most likely final scoresASU 7–35 TTU 0.7%ASU 21–28 TTU 0.7%ASU 14–42 TTU 0.6%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

Arizona StTexas Tech

Offense

354▲ 415 Total yards ▲ 502396

236▲ 380 Passing yards ▲ 242235

118▼ 35 Rushing yards ▲ 260161

18▲ 21 First downs = 2121

Scoring

1▲ 3 Touchdowns ▲ 64

1▲ 3 Passing touchdowns ▼ 12

0= 0 Rushing touchdowns ▲ 42

0▲ 1 Field goals made ▲ 42

Ball security

2= 2 Turnovers = 11

1▲ 2 Interceptions thrown ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost = 11

0 Sacks allowed 0

51▼ 32 Penalty yards ▼ 2948

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 280.5 Proj. 354 72% Won · 415

Passing yards Over 178.5 Proj. 236 72% Won · 380

Rushing yards Over 65.5 Proj. 118 72% Lost · 35

First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 18 73% Won · 21

Total yards Over 323.5 Proj. 396 72% Won · 502

Passing yards Over 177.5 Proj. 235 72% Won · 242

Rushing yards Over 109.5 Proj. 162 72% Won · 260

First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 21 72% Won · 21

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Arizona St

QB Cutter Boley22/36 · 226 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.9 INT 226pass yds

RB Kyson Brown10 carries · 41 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 2 rec 41rush yds

WR/TE Reed Harris7 rec · 109 yds · 0.6 TD 109rec yds

WR/TE Omarion Miller7 rec · 57 yds · 0.2 TD 57rec yds

Texas Tech

QB Will Hammond21/34 · 228 pass yds · 1.4 TD · 0.6 INT 228pass yds

RB Cameron Dickey11 carries · 44 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 2 rec 44rush yds

WR/TE Terrance Carter5 rec · 44 yds · 0.7 TD 44rec yds

WR/TE J'Koby Williams4 rec · 28 yds · 0.0 TD 28rec yds

Road form. Arizona St is 1-1 on the road this season, losing by 10.5 points a game.

Home form. Texas Tech is 3-0 at home, scoring 36.7 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at TTU −12.5 and is now TTU −16.5, a 4-point move toward Texas Tech.

Rest. Arizona St comes in on 7 days’ rest, Texas Tech on 14.

Streak. Texas Tech has won 5 in a row.

Tale of the tape

Arizona StateTexas Tech

3-2Record5-0

1-1 roadRoad / home3-0 home

W1StreakW5

7 daysRest14 days

32.6Points per game34.8

27.8Points allowed16.2

+24 Point differentialseason to date +93

256Passing yards / game227

165Rushing yards / game179

30%3rd-down conversion43%

5Takeaways10

0Sacks0

8Turnovers8

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Arizona St’s road games with Texas Tech’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.