Moneyline
APP MLodds up −128
58%
App State wins the game.
Confidence58%
Model52.4%
SportsbooksOdds54.0%
Edge−1.6
Appalachian State vs Marshall prediction, picks and odds
Updated 2:03 PM ET
App State vs Marshall picks
3 picks · App State by 3 · 59 pointsSpreadBest pick
MRSH +7.5odds down −286
77%
Marshall wins, or loses by seven points or fewer.
Confidence77%
Model69.5%
SportsbooksOdds69.3%
Edge+0.2
Total
Over 45.5odds down −263
74%
The two teams score 46 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model69.3%
SportsbooksOdds68.9%
Edge+0.4
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
App State0210102131
Marshall0140141428
Most likely final scoresAPP 31–28 MRSH 0.6%APP 27–24 MRSH 0.5%APP 35–28 MRSH 0.4%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
App StateMarshall
Offense
393
Total yards
412
258
Passing yards
231
135
Rushing yards
181
20
First downs
21
Scoring
4
Touchdowns
3
2
Passing touchdowns
1
2
Rushing touchdowns
2
1
Field goals made
2
Ball security
1
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions thrown
1
1
Fumbles lost
1
0
Sacks allowed
0
54
Penalty yards
59
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 319.5
Proj. 393
72%
Passing yards
Over 201.5
Proj. 258
72%
Rushing yards
Over 82.5
Proj. 135
72%
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 20
71%
Total yards
Over 339.5
Proj. 412
72%
Passing yards
Over 174.5
Proj. 231
72%
Rushing yards
Over 128.5
Proj. 181
72%
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 22
74%
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
App State
QB
Malachi Singleton18/30 · 226 pass yds · 1.3 TD · 0.7 INT
226pass yds
RB
Jaquari Lewis10 carries · 67 rush yds · 1.6 TD · 1 rec
67rush yds
WR/TE
Sam Pickett III4 rec · 65 yds · 0.4 TD
65rec yds
WR/TE
Chris Lofton3 rec · 54 yds · 0.2 TD
54rec yds
Marshall
QB
Zion Turner14/21 · 146 pass yds · 0.7 TD · 0.4 INT
146pass yds
RB
Judah Price10 carries · 49 rush yds · 0.4 TD · 2 rec
49rush yds
WR/TE
Toby Payne4 rec · 32 yds · 0.0 TD
32rec yds
WR/TE
Owen Sweeney3 rec · 31 yds · 0.2 TD
31rec yds
Line move. The spread opened at MRSH +2.5 and is now MRSH +1.5, a 1-point move toward Marshall.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Division game. Two East rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
Appalachian StateMarshall
Appalachian StateMarshall
5-4Record5-4
L2StreakL1
7 daysRest7 days
26.3Points per game22.3
24.4Points allowed31.9
6th Sun BeltConference7th Sun Belt
+17
Point differentialseason to date
−86
267Passing yards / game219
119Rushing yards / game172
35%3rd-down conversion36%
12Takeaways10
0Sacks0
13Turnovers17
266Passing yards / game265
113Rushing yards / game163
39%3rd-down conversion40%
4Takeaways4
0Sacks0
4Turnovers9
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares App State’s road games with Marshall’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
App State
5-4
LWWLL
Wk 10Nov 7vs GAST
Georgia St39App State23
Georgia St moneyline +190App State moneyline −263
LFINAL
Wk 9Oct 31@ GASO
App State3GA Southern19
App State moneyline +180GA Southern moneyline −250
LFINAL
Wk 8Oct 22vs JMU
James Madison31App State34
James Madison moneyline −588App State moneyline +365
WF/OT
Wk 7Oct 16@ CCU
App State35Coastal32
App State moneyline −116Coastal moneyline −105
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs ODU
Old Dominion10App State3
Old Dominion moneyline +290App State moneyline −400
LFINAL
Marshall
5-4
LLWWL
Wk 10Nov 7@ GASO
Marshall13GA Southern49
Marshall moneyline +220GA Southern moneyline −286
LFINAL
Wk 9Oct 31@ ODU
Marshall36Old Dominion23
Marshall moneyline −152Old Dominion moneyline +123
WFINAL
Wk 8Oct 20vs USA
South Alabama13Marshall20
South Alabama moneyline −122Marshall moneyline +100
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs CCU
Coastal27Marshall21
Coastal moneyline +148Marshall moneyline −213
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ JMU
Marshall17James Madison45
Marshall moneyline +480James Madison moneyline −909
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standingsTeams in this gameSun Belt East
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
APP STATE
1
Wins
Avg. points26.0 – 24.0
Avg. total50.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
0
MARSHALL
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 13App State home
Marshall24App State26
Marshall moneyline −196App State moneyline +150
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (APP)−127−127
Moneyline (MRSH)+102+102
Spread (MRSH)+2.5down +1.5
Total53.553.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Appalachian State visits Marshall in college football Week 11, on Saturday, November 14 at 6:00 PM ET. Appalachian State comes in at 5-4 and Marshall at 5-4. The moneyline has Appalachian State at −127 and Marshall at +102.
Our model predicts a final score of App State 31, Marshall 28. Its picks: Appalachian State to win (−128); Marshall +7.5 (−286); over 45.5 points (−263). The best pick is Marshall +7.5, at 77% confidence.