Moneyline
GASO MLodds down −238
Won 76%
GA Southern wins the game.
Confidence76%
Model59.5%
SportsbooksOdds65.6%
Edge−6.1
Appalachian State vs Georgia Southern prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| GASO | 0 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
APP STATE 40%
Pre-game win chance
60% GA SOUTHERN
GASO by 3 · 59 points
Updated Nov 1, 3:54 AM ET
App State vs GA Southern picks
3 picks · GA Southern by 3 · 59 points · 2 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
APP +12.5odds up −227
Lost 77%
App State wins, or loses by 12 points or fewer.
Confidence77%
Model71.5%
SportsbooksOdds68.7%
Edge+2.8
Total
Under 62.5odds up −238
Won 74%
The two teams score 62 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model71.2%
SportsbooksOdds68.1%
Edge+3.1
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
App State714702128
GA Southern1070141731
Most likely final scoresAPP 28–31 GASO 0.6%APP 21–28 GASO 0.5%APP 27–30 GASO 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line
App StateGA Southern
Offense
369▼ 222
Total yards
▲ 436420
233▼ 216
Passing yards
▲ 334274
136▼ 6
Rushing yards
▼ 102146
21▼ 12
First downs
▲ 2522
Scoring
3▼ 0
Touchdowns
▼ 14
2▼ 0
Passing touchdowns
▼ 02
1▼ 0
Rushing touchdowns
▼ 12
2▼ 1
Field goals made
▲ 41
Ball security
1▲ 3
Turnovers
▼ 01
1▲ 2
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1= 1
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
63▼ 27
Penalty yards
▼ 5864
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 295.5
Proj. 369
72%
Lost · 222
Passing yards
Over 175.5
Proj. 233
72%
Won · 216
Rushing yards
Over 83.5
Proj. 136
72%
Lost · 6
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
70%
Lost · 12
Total yards
Over 347.5
Proj. 420
72%
Won · 436
Passing yards
Over 217.5
Proj. 275
72%
Won · 334
Rushing yards
Over 93.5
Proj. 146
72%
Won · 102
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 22
72%
Won · 25
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
App State
QB
Malachi Singleton18/29 · 212 pass yds · 1.5 TD · 0.4 INT
212pass yds
RB
Jaquari Lewis12 carries · 68 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 1 rec
68rush yds
WR/TE
Sam Pickett III4 rec · 60 yds · 0.5 TD
60rec yds
WR/TE
Darrin Fugitt3 rec · 32 yds · 0.0 TD
32rec yds
GA Southern
QB
Turner Helton18/28 · 207 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.8 INT
207pass yds
RB
Tyrese Woodgett12 carries · 51 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 5 rec
51rush yds
WR/TE
Alex Taylor4 rec · 54 yds · 0.5 TD
54rec yds
WR/TE
Andre Greene Jr.3 rec · 28 yds · 0.2 TD
28rec yds
Road form. App State is 2-1 on the road this season, losing by 1.3 points a game.
Home form. GA Southern is 1-2 at home, scoring 27.7 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at GASO −3.5 and is now GASO −6.5, a 3-point move toward GA Southern.
Rest. App State comes in on 9 days’ rest, GA Southern on 16.
Division game. Two East rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
Appalachian StateGeorgia Southern
Appalachian StateGeorgia Southern
5-2Record3-4
2-1 roadRoad / home1-2 home
W2StreakW1
9 daysRest16 days
30.1Points per game24.4
23.1Points allowed23.0
+49
Point differentialseason to date
+10
270Passing yards / game275
144Rushing yards / game122
36%3rd-down conversion39%
12Takeaways9
0Sacks0
7Turnovers7
282Passing yards / game328
148Rushing yards / game117
43%3rd-down conversion45%
4Takeaways2
0Sacks0
1Turnovers4
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares App State’s road games with GA Southern’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
App State
5-2
WLLWW
Wk 8Oct 22vs JMU
James Madison31App State34
James Madison moneyline −588App State moneyline +365
WF/OT
Wk 7Oct 16@ CCU
App State35Coastal32
App State moneyline −116Coastal moneyline −105
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs ODU
Old Dominion10App State3
Old Dominion moneyline +290App State moneyline −400
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ NCST
App State31NC State41
App State moneyline +370NC State moneyline −588
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs CLT
Charlotte21App State26
Charlotte moneyline +580App State moneyline −1250
WFINAL
GA Southern
3-4
LLWLW
Wk 7Oct 15@ ODU
GA Southern23Old Dominion15
GA Southern moneyline −175Old Dominion moneyline +143
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs JMU
James Madison27GA Southern24
James Madison moneyline −294GA Southern moneyline +230
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ CCU
GA Southern31Coastal24
GA Southern moneyline −143Coastal moneyline +107
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs HOU
Houston42GA Southern28
Houston moneyline −1000GA Southern moneyline +520
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ JVST
GA Southern27Jax State31
GA Southern moneyline +137Jax State moneyline −185
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameSun Belt East
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
Last two meetings · regular season and playoffs
APP STATE
0
Wins
Avg. points16.5 – 27.0
Avg. total43.5 pts
Over closing total0 of 2
2
GA SOUTHERN
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · BowlsNeutral site
GA Southern29App State10
GA Southern moneyline −400App State moneyline +290
2025 · Wk 11App State home
GA Southern25App State23
GA Southern moneyline +160App State moneyline −217
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (APP)+175up +180
Moneyline (GASO)−238down −250
Spread (GASO)−3.5down −6.5
Total56.5down 54.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Georgia Southern beat Appalachian State 19–3 in college football Week 9, on Saturday, October 31 at 6:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Appalachian State at +180 and Georgia Southern at −250.
Our model predicted a final score of App State 28, GA Southern 31. Its picks: Georgia Southern to win (−238), won; Appalachian State +12.5 (−227), lost; under 62.5 points (−238), won. The best pick was Appalachian State +12.5, at 77% confidence.