Moneyline
APP MLodds up −118
Won 67%
App State wins the game.
Confidence67%
Model55.8%
SportsbooksOdds51.8%
Edge+4.0
Appalachian State vs Coastal Carolina prediction, picks and odds
Updated Oct 16, 11:32 PM ET
App State vs Coastal picks
3 picks · App State by 7 · 49 points · 3 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
APP +7.5odds up −270
Won 78%
App State wins, or loses by seven points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model76.3%
SportsbooksOdds71.0%
Edge+5.3
Total
Over 42.5odds up −227
Won 74%
The two teams score 43 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model70.1%
SportsbooksOdds70.4%
Edge−0.3
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
App State77771428
Coastal0777721
Most likely final scoresAPP 28–21 CCU 0.6%APP 31–24 CCU 0.5%APP 27–24 CCU 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
App StateCoastal
Offense
409▲ 516
Total yards
▲ 437368
244▲ 263
Passing yards
▲ 298210
165▲ 253
Rushing yards
▼ 139158
20▲ 28
First downs
▲ 2120
Scoring
3▲ 5
Touchdowns
▲ 43
2▼ 1
Passing touchdowns
▲ 32
1▲ 4
Rushing touchdowns
= 11
2▼ 0
Field goals made
▲ 10
Ball security
2▼ 1
Turnovers
= 11
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1= 1
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
56▼ 50
Penalty yards
▲ 6057
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 335.5
Proj. 409
72%
Won · 516
Passing yards
Over 187.5
Proj. 244
72%
Won · 263
Rushing yards
Over 112.5
Proj. 165
72%
Won · 253
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 20
73%
Won · 28
Total yards
Over 294.5
Proj. 368
72%
Won · 437
Passing yards
Over 152.5
Proj. 210
72%
Won · 298
Rushing yards
Over 105.5
Proj. 158
72%
Won · 139
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 20
69%
Won · 21
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
App State
QB
Malachi Singleton18/29 · 232 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.6 INT
232pass yds
RB
Jaquari Lewis12 carries · 64 rush yds · 0.4 TD · 1 rec
64rush yds
WR/TE
Sam Pickett III4 rec · 61 yds · 0.9 TD
61rec yds
WR/TE
Nate Branch4 rec · 36 yds · 0.0 TD
36rec yds
Coastal
QB
Deuce Bailey18/30 · 209 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.8 INT
209pass yds
RB
Dominic Knicely11 carries · 64 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 3 rec
64rush yds
WR/TE
Tristian Gardner3 rec · 35 yds · 0.2 TD
35rec yds
WR/TE
Karmello English3 rec · 29 yds · 0.3 TD
29rec yds
Road form. App State is 1-1 on the road this season, losing by 3.5 points a game.
Home form. Coastal is 1-2 at home, scoring 28.7 points a game there.
Total move. The total opened at 53.5 and is now 49.5.
Rest. Both teams come in on 6 days’ rest.
Division game. Two East rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
Appalachian StateCoastal Carolina
Appalachian StateCoastal Carolina
3-2Record2-4
1-1 roadRoad / home1-2 home
L2StreakW1
6 daysRest6 days
28.4Points per game25.2
19.8Points allowed24.3
+43
Point differentialseason to date
+5
269Passing yards / game224
134Rushing yards / game149
31%3rd-down conversion34%
10Takeaways13
0Sacks0
6Turnovers9
292Passing yards / game217
96Rushing yards / game157
36%3rd-down conversion35%
3Takeaways6
0Sacks0
0Turnovers4
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares App State’s road games with Coastal’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
App State
3-2
WWWLL
Wk 6Oct 10vs ODU
Old Dominion10App State3
Old Dominion moneyline +290App State moneyline −400
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ NCST
App State31NC State41
App State moneyline +370NC State moneyline −588
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs CLT
Charlotte21App State26
Charlotte moneyline +580App State moneyline −1250
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12@ ECU
App State27East Carolina24
App State moneyline +185East Carolina moneyline −250
WFINAL
Wk 1Sep 5vs MAIN
Maine3App State55
Maine moneyline +720App State moneyline −1667
WFINAL
Coastal
2-4
WLLLW
Wk 6Oct 10@ MRSH
Coastal27Marshall21
Coastal moneyline +148Marshall moneyline −213
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs GASO
GA Southern31Coastal24
GA Southern moneyline −143Coastal moneyline +107
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 24vs LIB
Liberty34Coastal17
Liberty moneyline −145Coastal moneyline +110
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ DEL
Coastal14Delaware22
Coastal moneyline +160Delaware moneyline −222
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12vs FORD
Fordham7Coastal45
Fordham moneyline +1500Coastal moneyline −10000
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameSun Belt East
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
APP STATE
0
Wins
Avg. points37.0 – 45.0
Avg. total82.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 1
1
COASTAL
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 8Kidd Brewer Stadium
App State37Coastal45
App State moneyline +310Coastal moneyline −476
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (APP)−123up −116
Moneyline (CCU)+100down −105
Spread (CCU)+1.5+1.5
Total53.5down 49.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Appalachian State beat Coastal Carolina 35–32 in college football Week 7, on Friday, October 16 at 8:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Appalachian State at −116 and Coastal Carolina at −105.
Our model predicted a final score of App State 28, Coastal 21. Its picks: Appalachian State to win (−118), won; Appalachian State +7.5 (−270), won; over 42.5 points (−227), won. The best pick was Appalachian State +7.5, at 78% confidence.